93 lines
3.6 KiB
Markdown
93 lines
3.6 KiB
Markdown
title: When will RIPE run out of IPv4 addresses?
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pub_date: 2019-10-10
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---
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author: ungleich
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---
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twitter_handle: ungleich
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---
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_hidden: no
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---
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_discoverable: yes
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---
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abstract:
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This month? Next month? On 2019-11-25!
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---
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body:
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As of today,
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[RIPE has less than 1 million IPv4 addresses available](https://www.ripe.net/manage-ips-and-asns/ipv4/ipv4-available-pool).
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So the question is, how long until RIPE does not have any IPv4
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addresses anymore? Or more specifically,
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**which is the exact date on which RIPE will have run out of IPv4
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addresses**?
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We are very curious and wonder who can best predict the exact date.
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And because it's a lot of fun to guess the right time, we will give
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out an **IPv6 only VM for free** to the person that guesses the exact
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date.
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## Guesses
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* ~~[@TuxOne](https://twitter.com/Tux0ne/status/1182309473521737728) 2019-10-23 08:27~~
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* ~~[@objetsfabuleux](https://twitter.com/objetsfabuleux/status/1182305989128855552)
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2019-10-26 ([the same day as the IPv4 exhaustion
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party](https://www.meetup.com/Digital-Glarus-Business-Technology/events/264859527/),
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so it must be correct)~~
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* ~~[@natedalliard](https://twitter.com/natedalliard/status/1182256538305667072)
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2019-11-08~~
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* ~~[@JoelAMay](https://twitter.com/JoelAMay/status/1183225050486325248)
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2019-11-11. Hopefully at 11:11:11 (that's probably the most sane
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guess we have seen so far)~~
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* ~~[@RickBakkr](https://twitter.com/RickBakkr/status/1182260610458963968)
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2019-11-12~~
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* ~~[@inoobkivervip](https://twitter.com/inoobkilervip/status/1182261254288760832)
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2019-11-12 @ 1PM BST (submitted three minutes after @RickBakkr)~~
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* ~~[@zajdee](https://twitter.com/zajdee/status/1182236698266275846) 2019-11-15~~
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* ~~[@MrXermon](https://twitter.com/MrXermon/status/1182254662914850817) 2019-11-25~~
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* ~~[@Sami_Lehtinen](https://twitter.com/Sami_Lehtinen/status/1182366137876701184) 2019-11-15 Friday~~
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* ~~[@VertXVaaR](https://twitter.com/VerteXVaaR/status/1182791748139061249)
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2019-11-22 (a nice date)~~
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* **[@pb_double](https://twitter.com/pb_double/status/1182236265233752064)
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2019-11-27 0610 UTC (very precise!)**
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* ~~[@agowa338](https://twitter.com/agowa338/status/1182236572047101952)~~
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2019-11-28~~
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* ~~[@NicoSchottelius](https://twitter.com/ungleich/status/1185153567243550722)~~
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2019-12-03~~
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* ~~[@treysis](https://twitter.com/treysis/status/1182256065213280261)
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2019-12-04~~
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* ~~[@ReplicaJune](https://twitter.com/ReplicaJune/status/1182235564180942849)
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2019-12-12~~
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* ~~[@mrimann](https://twitter.com/mrimann/status/1182769149233238016) 2019-12-16~~
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* ~~[@Mac_S13](https://twitter.com/Mac_S13/status/1182242286714970113)
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2019-12-24 (a Christmas present?)~~
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* ~~[@le_roncio](https://twitter.com/el_roncio/status/1182301050247827456) 2019-12-29~~
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* ~~[@sighubCH](https://twitter.com/sighupCH/status/1182332420487557121)
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2020-01-11 09:32~~
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* ~~[@STAXCON1](https://twitter.com/STAXCON1/status/1182795161266458626)
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2020-01-17 03:23~~
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## Want to guess?
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Just follow [@ungleich](https://twitter.com/ungleich) on Twitter
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and post your guess as [a reply to our tweet](https://twitter.com/ungleich/status/1182234419102388224).
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Rules are:
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* You cannot use the same date somebody else already guessed
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* You can only guess once
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* You can only guess until 2019-10-13-2359 UTC
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## And the winners is ...?
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Unfortunately, nobody guessed the exact date.
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However, the nearest guess came from
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[@pb_double](https://twitter.com/pb_double), with less than 2 days of
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difference. He was followed by
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[@VertXVaaR](https://twitter.com/VerteXVaaR) and
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[@agowa338](https://twitter.com/agowa338/) with
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3 days of difference.
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